The PaddyPower 2UP method is a way of taking advantage of the PaddyPower early payout offer.
The offer is quite simple, bet on a team, if they go 2 goals up you get paid out as if they won the game. Anyone who has a matched betting or trading background can already see here how we can make a profit. What if we bet on a team to win on PaddyPower, then lay them on an exchange (betting for them not to win)? Well, if they go two goals up, PP will pay out the win, then if they draw or lose, the exchange will also pay the win – two winnings on one trade! It is key to remember a team does not need to go 2-0 up, they just need to go two goals clear so you can still two up if a team goes 3-1, 4-2 ect.
Introduction
The 2UP method can either be extremely simple, or extremely complex depending on how much you want to get into it. It’s not like other elements of matched betting where the only thing that stops you gaining a profit is human error. With 2UP there is a small fee attached to every time you attempt it – I’ll show this later when we go through the actual method of 2UP.
The idea however is a simple one, you’re selecting a team you think will be able to go 2 goals up, and then still not win the game. On the day I’m writing this, a 2UP opportunity has just passed me by, Birmingham as you can see, 0-2 up until the 87th minute when Derby started their comeback.
If you’d have bet on PaddyPower or Bet365 for Birmingham to win, you’d have been paid out on the 56th minute, then if you’d had laid Birmingham on an exchange (bet for them to not win) you’d have been paid out at full time.
Strategy
How do you select a game?
As with all matched betting you’re going to have a qualifying loss. So when it comes to selecting the team of your choice it is best to go on an oddsmatcher, if you don’t have access to one and would like to try 2UP then sign up for a free trial to OddsMonkey here!
Once on OddsMonkey or your oddsmatcher of choice you need to filter by football, then also PaddyPower, then also your preferred exchange.
As you can see from the image above, if I was to select Nottingham Forest for my 2UP selection I would lose £0.82 if it does not come through. I’d recommend doing 2UP on PaddyPower, because if you do 5x2UPs a week (Using a £10 stake) you’ll qualify for their weekly free bet club and get a free £10.00 bet, which you should be able to extract some profit from even if your 2UPs are unsuccessful.
So if we’re using Nottingham Forest as an example, we’d go bet £10 on PaddyPower at odds of 2.25, then because OddsMonkey is linked to my betfair, I’d just click the lay the bet, and that side will also be taken care of. Then we would just wait until hopefully Forest go two goals clear in a game.
Forest Never go 2 Goals Clear
- If this is the case in the game then it’s quite simple, we lose £0.82 and move onto the next selection.
Forest go 2 Clear
- If Forest go 2 clear during the game we have two options, we can either leave it and hope Cardiff get back into the game or we can secure our profit instantly.
- To secure you’re profit you’re going to use the Early Payout Calculator on OddsMonkey,
You’ll select YES to has the bookmaker paid out early? Then you’ll add in the back odds from the exchange on Forrest.
Lets imagine it’s around the 50th minute, the odds for Forrest at 2 goals up will have probably dropped to around 1.5 if the exchange is feeling generous. You can then see all we need to do is back £15.13, and we’ll guarantee a profit of £6.75 from the game. That’s a 67.5% return which is huge!
If you feel like the opposition is getting back into the game then it is definitely worth waiting, because if they even get one goal back, that’ll drastically help you with better odds, meaning you can extract more profit. As you can see below, if you decided to not take out your stake and instead let the 2UP ride you can see the either potential profit or the potential loss depending on what happens with the game.
It’s key to note that 2UP will have varying profit depending on the odds at which you entered the market. If you do it with a heavy favorite, the likelihood of being able to extract profit if they go 2 goals clear is slim. The general strategy with 2UP is to back the underdog and hope they get lucky, then hope the favorite gets back into the game.
If you follow the 2UP method on PaddyPower with £10 stakes and do this 7 times a week, you can expect to lose around £4-8 – depending on the qualifying loss. You’ll then be credited a free £10 bet which you can extract £7-8 from, which means hopefully even if you don’t hit a 2UP doing a week, you still shouldn’t be losing money, at most maybe a £1!
